The recent EU reports may reverse the inflow of foreign investment to Bulgaria, economy minister Petar Dimitrov said on Monday.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) fell 500 mln euro year-on-year by the end of June 2008 after pacing ahead of the year-ago figure during the first quarter, said the official.
'The latest EU report has tainted Bulgaria's image,' admitted the economy minister
He fears the fallout from the damning report could have much more dire consequences compared to the loss of EU funding.
Brussels unveiled last week two scathing reports on Sofia's efforts to fight organised crime and corruption and tackle the irregularities in the domestic spending of EU cash.
The European Commission has also withdrawn the accreditation of two payment agencies and suspended over 800 mln euro in aid.
The latest FDI figures released by the central bank show a decline to 1.705 bln euro in January-May 2008 versus 2.02 bln euro a year earlier.
The FDI now covers 55.7% of Bulgaria's c/a deficit versus 78.1% a year earlier.
An FDI pullback may have a negative impact on macro-economic stability, Tsvetoslav Tsachev, chief analyst at investment intermediary Elana, said, noting that this is based on preliminary data which is usually revised upwards.
The FDI inflow has so far served as a buffer in terms of the c/a deficit which has been rising for years and in 2007 reached 21% of GDP. In the case of a negative outcome, the budget surplus could be used as alternate buffer, said Tsachev.
He warned that if the budget surplus is spent on pay and pension raises that would only stoke domestic consumption and imports thus leaving the c/a further agape.
According to Stoyan Stalev, executive director of the Investment Agency, the biggest turn-off for the foreign investors is the creaky judicial system.
He considers the bumbling judicial reform to be a greater cause for concern that than the problems with the absorption of EU funding.
Stalev said he is still confident that 2008 will be another growth year for Bulgaria in terms of FDI.
(Dnevnik)
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